Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro v IF Gnistan

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 16:02 UTC

Final: Jaro 1–1 IF Gnistan

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro (Local)

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV +0.165%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.38%27.22%27.37%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.303.6732.26%29.73%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Gnistan (Visit)

Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.78%47.80%49.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.951.922.0655.25%51.39%52.08%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV -0.223%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%25.00%24.83%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.603.604.0031.75%27.75%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 27.29%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 47.76%; Draw: 24.94%. For Jaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.165%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.14%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.21%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 15:59
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -0.381%E -0.104%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.53%EV -9.73%E -5.15%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -1.75%E -0.485%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 15:59
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.11%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 16:00
Pinnacle🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.44%EV -1.22%E -0.308%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-23 15:59
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 16:00
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 15:59
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 15:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 16:00
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 16:00
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 16:00
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 16:00
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 15:59
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 16:00
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 15:59
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-23 15:59
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 15:59
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 15:59
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.04%EV -13.55%E -7.49%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-23 15:59
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-23 15:46
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -21.43%E -6.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-06-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-06-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-06-23 16:00