مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jaro v IF Gnistan

البداية: 2026-06-23 16:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Jaro 1–1 IF Gnistan

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jaro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.29%3.66السعر العادل
EV +0.165%
الأفضلية +0.045%
Kelly +0.062%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.38%27.22%27.37%28.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.363.303.6732.26%29.73%30.30%27.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IF Gnistan (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.76%2.09السعر العادل
EV -1.61%
الأفضلية -0.781%
Kelly -1.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.31%47.78%47.80%49.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.951.922.0655.25%51.39%52.08%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.94%4.01السعر العادل
EV -0.223%
الأفضلية -0.056%
Kelly -0.074%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.14%25.00%24.83%26.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.603.604.0031.75%27.75%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets3.67I 27.25%NM 26.14%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.21%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 15:59
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -0.381%E -0.104%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.53%EV -9.73%E -5.15%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -1.75%E -0.485%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 15:59
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.11%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 16:00
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.44%EV -1.22%E -0.308%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-23 15:59
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 16:00
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 15:59
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 15:59
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 16:00
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 15:59
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 15:59
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 16:00
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 16:00
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 16:00
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 16:00
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 16:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 15:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 16:00
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 15:59
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-23 15:59
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 15:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 15:59
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 15:59
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 16:00
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.04%EV -13.55%E -7.49%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-23 15:59
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-23 15:46
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -21.43%E -6.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-23 16:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-06-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-06-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-06-23 16:00