L’École des cotes

Jaro v IF Gnistan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 16:02 UTC

Score final : Jaro 1–1 IF Gnistan

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 27.29%3.66cote équitable
EV +0.165%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.062%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.38%27.22%27.37%28.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.303.6732.26%29.73%30.30%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Gnistan (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.76%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.781%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%47.78%47.80%49.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.951.922.0655.25%51.39%52.08%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.223%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.14%25.00%24.83%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.603.604.0031.75%27.75%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets3.67I 27.25%NM 26.14%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.21%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 15:59
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -0.381%E -0.104%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.53%EV -9.73%E -5.15%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -1.75%E -0.485%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 15:59
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.11%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 16:00
Pinnacle3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.44%EV -1.22%E -0.308%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-23 15:59
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 16:00
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 15:59
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 15:59
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 16:00
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 15:59
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 15:59
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 16:00
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 16:00
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 16:00
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 16:00
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 16:00
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 15:59
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 15:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-23 16:00
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 16:00
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-23 15:59
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-23 15:59
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 15:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 15:59
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 15:59
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 16:00
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.04%EV -13.55%E -7.49%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-23 15:59
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-23 15:46
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -21.43%E -6.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-23 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-06-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-06-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-06-23 16:00