La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jaro v IF Gnistan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaro (Local)
Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV +0.165%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.38%27.22%27.37%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.303.6732.26%29.73%30.30%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IF Gnistan (Visitante)
Predicción 47.76%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%47.78%47.80%49.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.951.922.0655.25%51.39%52.08%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.223%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%25.00%24.83%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.603.604.0031.75%27.75%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.14%EV +0.165%E +0.045%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.21%EV -4.95%E -2.49%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -0.381%E -0.104%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.53%EV -9.73%E -5.15%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -5.96%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -1.75%E -0.485%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.11%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.44%EV -1.22%E -0.308%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -0.223%E -0.056%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -1.61%E -0.781%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -6.38%E -3.26%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.46%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.71%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -2.09%E -1.02%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.21%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.86%E -3.52%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -8.95%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -4.47%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -15.19%E -4.47%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.77%E -4.59%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.69%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.04%EV -13.55%E -7.49%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.20%EV -13.94%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.59%E -6.88%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.20%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-23 15:46 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -15.39%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.79%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.89%EV -21.43%E -6.80%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77% | 2.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56% | 3.1% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |