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Ilves Tampere v VPS Vaasa

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prediction 39.10%2.56fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.68%39.10%39.10%39.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.332.4245.45%43.25%42.92%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 34.29%2.92fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.03%34.29%34.29%34.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.622.632.7740.32%38.24%38.02%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.61%3.76fair odd
EV -6.86%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.61%26.61%27.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.453.5031.25%29.37%28.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ilves Tampere (Local): 39.10%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 34.29%; Draw: 26.61%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.77, with an expected value of -5.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.96%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.03%EV -5.02%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 03:29
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.94%EV -7.72%E -3.27%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 03:24
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 02:59
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:00
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:00
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:04
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.90%E -3.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -9.82%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 03:04
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 03:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.10%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 03:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -12.57%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 03:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.84%EV -10.85%E -4.76%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -12.57%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -12.57%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -14.84%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-16 03:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -13.98%E -6.35%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.60%EV -14.97%E -6.03%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%EV -13.51%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-16 03:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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