Language:English
Ilves Tampere v VPS Vaasa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ilves Tampere (Local)
Prediction 41.08%2.43fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.67%41.21%41.12%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.232.3647.62%44.73%44.84%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VPS Vaasa (Visit)
Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%32.55%32.60%34.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.802.803.0238.17%35.74%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.696%
Kelly +0.936%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%26.24%26.27%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.9030.77%29.02%28.99%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 41.08%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 32.58%; Draw: 26.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV +2.72%E +0.696%K +0.936%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.91%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.61%E -0.532%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.03%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 05:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.45%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -5.19%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.29%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.11%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.10%EV -4.86%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 05:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 05:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -14.64%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.21%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -2.58%E -0.864%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 05:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.64%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -10.44%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -10.44%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -14.40%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-22 05:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |