Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ilves Tampere v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 0–1 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 41.08%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.67%41.21%41.12%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.232.3647.62%44.73%44.84%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.58%3.07cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.532%
Kelly -0.795%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.55%32.60%34.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.802.803.0238.17%35.74%35.71%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV +2.72%
Avantage +0.696%
Kelly +0.936%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.66%26.24%26.27%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.453.9030.77%29.02%28.99%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ilves Tampere (Local) : 41.08% ; VPS Vaasa (Visiteur) : 32.58% ; Match nul : 26.34%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +2.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV +2.72%E +0.696%K +0.936%G +0.025%4.0%2026-08-22 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.91%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.61%E -0.532%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.03%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:54
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.45%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -5.19%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.29%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:59
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:59
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.11%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.10%EV -4.86%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:24
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 05:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 05:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -14.64%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 13:59
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:34
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.21%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -2.58%E -0.864%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 13:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 05:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 11:04
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.64%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -10.44%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 05:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -10.44%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 05:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -14.40%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-22 05:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-22 13:25