Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ilves Tampere v VPS Vaasa

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 0–1 VPS Vaasa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Previsão 41.08%2.43odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.67%41.21%41.12%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.232.3647.62%44.73%44.84%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Previsão 32.58%3.07odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.532%
Kelly -0.795%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.10%32.55%32.60%34.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.802.803.0238.17%35.74%35.71%33.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.34%3.80odd justa
EV +2.72%
Vantagem +0.696%
Kelly +0.936%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.66%26.24%26.27%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.453.453.9030.77%29.02%28.99%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ilves Tampere (Local): 41.08%; VPS Vaasa (Visitante): 32.58%; Empate: 26.34%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.72%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.60%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV +2.72%E +0.696%K +0.936%G +0.025%4.0%2026-08-22 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.91%EV -5.10%E -2.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.06%EV -1.61%E -0.532%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -2.03%E -0.544%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 05:54
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.73%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.87%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.45%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -5.19%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.29%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:59
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -3.05%E -1.29%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:59
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.11%EV -6.33%E -2.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.10%EV -4.86%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:24
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 05:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 05:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.38%EV -14.64%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 13:59
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.51%E -2.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -8.39%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:34
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.21%EV -6.74%E -2.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -2.58%E -0.864%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 12:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 13:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 05:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 11:04
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.64%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.45%E -3.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.57%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -10.44%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 05:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -10.44%E -4.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 05:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 05:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.79%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.78%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -13.73%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -14.40%E -4.43%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-22 05:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-08-22 13:25