La scuola delle quote

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

Inizio: 2026-06-17 15:02 UTC

Finale: Ilves Tampere 5–0 Jaro

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Casa)

Previsione 57.77%1.73quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.82%57.89%57.97%60.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.611.611.6866.67%62.18%62.11%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jaro (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.47%5.14quota equa
EV +7.09%
Vantaggio +1.29%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.112%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.65%19.43%19.41%21.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.644.605.5023.81%21.56%21.74%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.75%4.39quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.340%
Kelly -0.442%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.16%22.68%22.62%25.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.963.954.3330.77%25.27%25.32%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV +7.09%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.112%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.42%EV -1.47%E -0.340%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 15:01
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.39%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.15%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.46%EV -2.38%E -0.555%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -13.34%E -8.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.653%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-17 15:01
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 14:59
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 14:59
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.95%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.73%EV -7.16%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 14:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 15:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 14:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.98%EV -9.46%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:01
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.20%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-17 15:01
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.72%E -5.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-17 14:59
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-17 14:58
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-17 14:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -15.30%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -26.05%E -8.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-17 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.22%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-06-17 15:01