L’École des cotes

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 15:02 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 5–0 Jaro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 57.77%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.82%57.89%57.97%60.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.611.611.6866.67%62.18%62.11%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.47%5.14cote équitable
EV +7.09%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.112%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.65%19.43%19.41%21.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.644.605.5023.81%21.56%21.74%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.75%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -0.442%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%22.68%22.62%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.963.954.3330.77%25.27%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV +7.09%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.112%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.42%EV -1.47%E -0.340%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 15:01
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.39%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.15%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.46%EV -2.38%E -0.555%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -13.34%E -8.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.653%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-17 15:01
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 14:59
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 14:59
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.95%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.73%EV -7.16%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 14:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 15:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 14:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.98%EV -9.46%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:01
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.20%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-17 15:01
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.72%E -5.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-17 14:59
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-17 14:58
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-17 14:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -15.30%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -26.05%E -8.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-17 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.22%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-06-17 15:01