La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

Inicio: 2026-06-17 15:02 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 5–0 Jaro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 57.77%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.82%57.89%57.97%60.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.611.6866.67%62.18%62.11%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaro (Visitante)

Predicción 19.47%5.14momio equitativo
EV +7.09%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.112%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.65%19.43%19.41%21.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.644.605.5023.81%21.56%21.74%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.75%4.39momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.442%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.16%22.68%22.62%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.963.954.3330.77%25.27%25.32%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV +7.09%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.112%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.42%EV -1.47%E -0.340%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 15:01
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.39%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.15%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.46%EV -2.38%E -0.555%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -13.34%E -8.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.653%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-17 15:01
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 14:59
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 14:59
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.95%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.73%EV -7.16%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 14:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 15:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 14:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.98%EV -9.46%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:01
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.20%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-17 15:01
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.72%E -5.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-17 14:59
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-17 14:58
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-17 14:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -15.30%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -26.05%E -8.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-17 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.22%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-06-17 15:01