مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ilves Tampere v Jaro

البداية: 2026-06-17 15:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ilves Tampere 5–0 Jaro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ilves Tampere (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.77%1.73السعر العادل
EV -2.94%
الأفضلية -1.75%
Kelly -4.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.82%57.89%57.97%60.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.611.611.6866.67%62.18%62.11%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jaro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.47%5.14السعر العادل
EV +7.09%
الأفضلية +1.29%
Kelly +1.57%
النمو +0.112%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.65%19.43%19.41%21.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.644.605.5023.81%21.56%21.74%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.75%4.39السعر العادل
EV -1.47%
الأفضلية -0.340%
Kelly -0.442%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.16%22.68%22.62%25.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.963.954.3330.77%25.27%25.32%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.93%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV +7.09%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.112%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.42%EV -1.47%E -0.340%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-17 15:01
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.39%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.15%EV -2.06%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.46%EV -2.38%E -0.555%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -13.34%E -8.89%K -26.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -2.15%E -0.501%K -0.653%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-17 15:01
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -3.62%E -0.732%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:00
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 14:59
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.938%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.57%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 14:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-17 14:59
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 57.95%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -6.54%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.73%EV -7.16%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 14:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 14:59
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 15:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 14:59
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.98%EV -9.46%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 15:00
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 14:59
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 15:01
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:01
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 15:00
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 14:59
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 14:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.20%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-17 15:01
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.72%E -5.52%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-17 14:59
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-17 14:58
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:01
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 15:00
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-17 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.38%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-17 15:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-17 14:59
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.35%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -15.30%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-17 15:00
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.14%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.82%EV -11.60%E -7.58%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.37%EV -15.69%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -26.05%E -8.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%19.2%2026-06-17 15:00
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -18.22%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-17 15:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.21%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-06-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-06-17 15:01