Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v VPS Vaasa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -0.721%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.82%26.56%30.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6931.75%29.45%29.41%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VPS Vaasa (Visit)
Prediction 46.33%2.16fair odd
EV +4.23%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.143%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%46.04%46.37%46.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.002.2554.64%49.87%50.00%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.72%27.15%27.07%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.303.6034.72%29.91%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 26.57%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 46.33%; Draw: 27.10%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +4.23%E +1.88%K +3.39%G +0.143% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -5.96%E -2.93%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.68%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.46%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.32%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.64%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.22%E -8.32%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |