L’École des cotes

IFK Mariehamn v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Mariehamn 0–1 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.721%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.82%26.56%30.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.6931.75%29.45%29.41%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.33%2.16cote équitable
EV +4.23%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +3.39%
Croissance +0.143%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.75%46.04%46.37%46.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.012.002.2554.64%49.87%50.00%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.679%
Kelly -0.940%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.72%27.15%27.07%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.303.6034.72%29.91%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +4.23%E +1.88%K +3.39%G +0.143%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 10:11
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:46
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:56
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:56
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:49
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:40
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -5.96%E -2.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.68%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.46%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.32%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:48
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:49
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:56
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.64%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 13:40
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:54
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:48
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 13:50
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.22%E -8.32%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50