A Escola das Odds

IFK Mariehamn v VPS Vaasa

Início: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 0–1 VPS Vaasa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Previsão 26.57%3.76odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.525%
Kelly -0.721%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.52%26.82%26.56%30.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.403.403.6931.75%29.45%29.41%27.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Previsão 46.33%2.16odd justa
EV +4.23%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +3.39%
Crescimento +0.143%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.75%46.04%46.37%46.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.832.012.002.2554.64%49.87%50.00%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.10%3.69odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.679%
Kelly -0.940%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.72%27.15%27.07%28.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.343.303.6034.72%29.91%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +4.23%E +1.88%K +3.39%G +0.143%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 10:11
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:46
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:56
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:56
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:49
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:40
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 13:40
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -5.96%E -2.93%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.68%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.46%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.32%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:48
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:49
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:56
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:55
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.64%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 13:40
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:54
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:48
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 13:50
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.22%E -8.32%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50