La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
IFK Mariehamn v VPS Vaasa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Predicción 26.57%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.82%26.56%30.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.403.403.6931.75%29.45%29.41%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VPS Vaasa (Visitante)
Predicción 46.33%2.16momio equitativo
EV +4.23%
Ventaja +1.88%
Kelly +3.39%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.75%46.04%46.37%46.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.012.002.2554.64%49.87%50.00%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.679%
Kelly -0.940%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.72%27.15%27.07%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.303.6034.72%29.91%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +4.23%E +1.88%K +3.39%G +0.143% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 10:11 |
| BetAnything | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| GTbets | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.10%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -2.44%E -0.679%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -5.96%E -2.93%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -8.68%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.46%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.32%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bovada | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:48 |
| BetUS | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.35%E -3.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.51%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -16.29%E -5.17%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -14.64%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Everygame | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.22%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.66%E -4.96%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:48 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -11.52%E -6.03%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.93%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.49%EV -15.22%E -8.32%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.90%EV -21.96%E -7.62%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |