Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 16.12%6.20fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.16%16.13%16.15%17.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.675.756.0020.00%17.63%17.39%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 63.21%1.58fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -8.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.19%63.24%63.24%64.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.461.5172.46%68.42%68.26%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.67%4.84fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +0.668%
Kelly +0.836%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.22%20.63%20.61%21.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.354.255.0025.00%22.97%23.53%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 16.12%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 63.21%; Draw: 20.67%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.34%E +0.668%K +0.836%G +0.028% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.39%EV -5.22%E -0.888%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.79%EV +0.656%E +0.135%K +0.169%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 15:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 15:47 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.16%EV -6.03%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -9.27%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-18 15:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:48 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:48 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:48 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 15:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 15:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-18 15:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.46%EV -12.77%E -9.25%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.28%EV -16.29%E -4.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-18 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.71%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 15:35 |