مدرسة الاحتمالات

IFK Mariehamn v Ilves Tampere

البداية: 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: IFK Mariehamn 2–2 Ilves Tampere

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (المضيف)

التنبؤ 16.12%6.20السعر العادل
EV -3.29%
الأفضلية -0.548%
Kelly -0.658%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.16%16.13%16.15%17.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.675.756.0020.00%17.63%17.39%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ilves Tampere (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.21%1.58السعر العادل
EV -4.55%
الأفضلية -3.01%
Kelly -8.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.19%63.24%63.24%64.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.461.461.5172.46%68.42%68.26%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.67%4.84السعر العادل
EV +3.34%
الأفضلية +0.668%
Kelly +0.836%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.22%20.63%20.61%21.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.354.255.0025.00%22.97%23.53%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.34%E +0.668%K +0.836%G +0.028%4.1%2026-04-18 15:24
Pinnacle5.88I 17.01%NM 16.39%EV -5.22%E -0.888%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.79%EV +0.656%E +0.135%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-18 15:45
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 15:15
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:15
1xBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:39
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:34
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:45
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:47
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:14
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:15
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:24
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:50
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:50
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:15
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 15:15
GTbets5.83I 17.15%NM 16.16%EV -6.03%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -9.27%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:15
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:00
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 15:25
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:34
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 15:15
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 15:15
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:15
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:28
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:15
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 15:45
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 15:01
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.46%EV -12.77%E -9.25%K -33.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.28%EV -16.29%E -4.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 15:35
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.71%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 15:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:15
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:35