L’École des cotes

IFK Mariehamn v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Mariehamn 2–2 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 16.12%6.20cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.658%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.16%16.13%16.15%17.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.675.756.0020.00%17.63%17.39%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.21%1.58cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -3.01%
Kelly -8.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.19%63.24%63.24%64.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.461.461.5172.46%68.42%68.26%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.67%4.84cote équitable
EV +3.34%
Avantage +0.668%
Kelly +0.836%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.22%20.63%20.61%21.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.354.255.0025.00%22.97%23.53%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.34%E +0.668%K +0.836%G +0.028%4.1%2026-04-18 15:24
Pinnacle5.88I 17.01%NM 16.39%EV -5.22%E -0.888%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.79%EV +0.656%E +0.135%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-18 15:45
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 15:15
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:15
1xBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:39
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:34
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:45
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:47
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:14
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:15
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:24
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:50
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:50
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:15
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 15:15
GTbets5.83I 17.15%NM 16.16%EV -6.03%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -9.27%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:15
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:00
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 15:25
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:34
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 15:15
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 15:15
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:15
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:28
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:15
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 15:45
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 15:01
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.46%EV -12.77%E -9.25%K -33.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.28%EV -16.29%E -4.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 15:35
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.71%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:15
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:35