La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v Ilves Tampere

Inicio: 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 2–2 Ilves Tampere

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 16.12%6.20momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.658%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.16%16.13%16.15%17.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.675.756.0020.00%17.63%17.39%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ilves Tampere (Visitante)

Predicción 63.21%1.58momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -3.01%
Kelly -8.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.19%63.24%63.24%64.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.461.461.5172.46%68.42%68.26%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.67%4.84momio equitativo
EV +3.34%
Ventaja +0.668%
Kelly +0.836%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.22%20.63%20.61%21.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.354.255.0025.00%22.97%23.53%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.34%E +0.668%K +0.836%G +0.028%4.1%2026-04-18 15:24
Pinnacle5.88I 17.01%NM 16.39%EV -5.22%E -0.888%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.82%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.79%EV +0.656%E +0.135%K +0.169%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-18 15:45
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 15:15
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -0.791%E -0.165%K -0.208%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:15
1xBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:39
Marathon Bet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:34
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:45
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.92%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.88%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 15:47
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -8.12%E -1.43%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 15:14
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:15
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 15:24
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:50
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -4.90%E -0.830%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.00%EV -5.81%E -3.90%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:50
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.18%E -3.45%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:15
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -9.06%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 15:15
GTbets5.83I 17.15%NM 16.16%EV -6.03%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -4.55%E -3.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -9.27%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:15
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 15:00
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.41%E -3.88%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.50%E -8.22%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 15:25
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:34
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 15:15
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 15:15
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:15
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:48
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -7.08%E -4.81%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -7.71%E -5.28%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 15:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.29%E -0.548%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 15:28
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -6.51%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 15:15
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.32%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.34%E -5.75%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 15:45
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.45%E -4.35%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 15:15
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.38%E -2.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.97%E -6.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 15:01
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.26%EV -14.57%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.46%EV -12.77%E -9.25%K -33.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.28%EV -16.29%E -4.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-18 15:35
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -11.35%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.71%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:15
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-04-18 15:35