Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v HJK Helsinki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 12.48%8.02fair odd
EV +11.03%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 8.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.80%12.43%12.48%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.277.508.9016.67%13.75%13.33%11.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Prediction 70.51%1.42fair odd
EV +0.121%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.289%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.22%70.51%70.50%72.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.4280.00%75.93%75.76%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.02%5.88fair odd
EV +4.65%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +0.903%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 6.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.66%17.06%17.02%19.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.245.006.1521.74%19.10%20.00%16.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 12.48%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 70.51%; Draw: 17.02%. For IFK Mariehamn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.80%EV +11.03%E +1.24%K +1.40%G +0.154% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.70%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-18 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.92%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.42%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.66%EV +4.65%E +0.756%K +0.903%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.17%EV -4.31%E -0.562%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -17.30%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.88%EV -6.31%E -0.840%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.14%EV +0.121%E +0.085%K +0.289%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -13.22%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV +0.397%E +0.067%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-23 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.16%E -8.86%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.17%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 16:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.11%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -9.75%E -7.62%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-23 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.41%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.62%EV -10.45%E -8.23%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -17.47%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-23 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |