A Escola das Odds

IFK Mariehamn v HJK Helsinki

Início: 2026-06-23 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 0–4 HJK Helsinki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Previsão 12.48%8.02odd justa
EV +11.03%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescimento +0.154%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.80%12.43%12.48%14.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.007.277.508.9016.67%13.75%13.33%11.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Previsão 70.51%1.42odd justa
EV +0.121%
Vantagem +0.085%
Kelly +0.289%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.22%70.51%70.50%72.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.321.4280.00%75.93%75.76%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.02%5.88odd justa
EV +4.65%
Vantagem +0.756%
Kelly +0.903%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.66%17.06%17.02%19.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.245.006.1521.74%19.10%20.00%16.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet8.90I 11.24%NM 10.80%EV +11.03%E +1.24%K +1.40%G +0.154%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.70%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 10:10
Pinnacle8.08I 12.38%NM 11.92%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.42%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.66%EV +4.65%E +0.756%K +0.903%G +0.042%3.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Betsson7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:10
NordicBet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:10
1xBet7.67I 13.04%NM 12.17%EV -4.31%E -0.562%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -17.30%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 16:50
GTbets7.51I 13.32%NM 12.88%EV -6.31%E -0.840%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.14%EV +0.121%E +0.085%K +0.289%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -13.22%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 10:20
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 16:00
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV +0.397%E +0.067%K +0.081%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 15:50
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 15:50
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 13:40
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 15:50
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.16%E -8.86%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-23 14:10
LowVig.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
BetOnline.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
BetAnything7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Marathon Bet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 16:50
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 16:50
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 13:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.17%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 16:36
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 16:50
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.11%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 16:49
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 16:50
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 16:50
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 16:50
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -9.75%E -7.62%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 13:50
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:50
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-23 16:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-23 16:50
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.41%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.62%EV -10.45%E -8.23%K -38.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -17.47%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:44
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-23 16:50