Idioma:Español
IFK Mariehamn v HJK Helsinki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Predicción 12.48%8.02momio equitativo
EV +11.03%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.154%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.80%12.43%12.48%14.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.277.508.9016.67%13.75%13.33%11.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
HJK Helsinki (Visitante)
Predicción 70.51%1.42momio equitativo
EV +0.121%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.289%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.22%70.51%70.50%72.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.4280.00%75.93%75.76%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.02%5.88momio equitativo
EV +4.65%
Ventaja +0.756%
Kelly +0.903%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.66%17.06%17.02%19.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.245.006.1521.74%19.10%20.00%16.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 12.48%; HJK Helsinki (Visitante): 70.51%; Empate: 17.02%. Para IFK Mariehamn (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.02. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.80%EV +11.03%E +1.24%K +1.40%G +0.154% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.70%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-18 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.92%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.42%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.66%EV +4.65%E +0.756%K +0.903%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-23 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.67I 13.04%NM 12.17%EV -4.31%E -0.562%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -17.30%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.88%EV -6.31%E -0.840%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.14%EV +0.121%E +0.085%K +0.289%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -13.22%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV +0.397%E +0.067%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-23 15:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-23 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.16%E -8.86%K -42.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-23 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-23 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.17%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 16:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.11%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-23 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -9.75%E -7.62%K -34.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-23 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.41%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.62%EV -10.45%E -8.23%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -17.47%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-23 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-23 16:50 |