La escuela de los momios

IFK Mariehamn v HJK Helsinki

Inicio: 2026-06-23 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Mariehamn 0–4 HJK Helsinki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Predicción 12.48%8.02momio equitativo
EV +11.03%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.154%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.80%12.43%12.48%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.277.508.9016.67%13.75%13.33%11.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Predicción 70.51%1.42momio equitativo
EV +0.121%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.289%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.22%70.51%70.50%72.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.4280.00%75.93%75.76%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.02%5.88momio equitativo
EV +4.65%
Ventaja +0.756%
Kelly +0.903%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.66%17.06%17.02%19.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.245.006.1521.74%19.10%20.00%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet8.90I 11.24%NM 10.80%EV +11.03%E +1.24%K +1.40%G +0.154%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.70%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 10:10
Pinnacle8.08I 12.38%NM 11.92%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.42%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.66%EV +4.65%E +0.756%K +0.903%G +0.042%3.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Betsson7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:10
NordicBet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:10
1xBet7.67I 13.04%NM 12.17%EV -4.31%E -0.562%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -17.30%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 16:50
GTbets7.51I 13.32%NM 12.88%EV -6.31%E -0.840%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.14%EV +0.121%E +0.085%K +0.289%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -13.22%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 10:20
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 16:00
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV +0.397%E +0.067%K +0.081%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 15:50
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 15:50
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 13:40
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 15:50
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.16%E -8.86%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-23 14:10
LowVig.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
BetOnline.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
BetAnything7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Marathon Bet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 16:50
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 16:50
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 13:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.17%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 16:36
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 16:50
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.11%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 16:49
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 16:50
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 16:50
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 16:50
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -9.75%E -7.62%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 13:50
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:50
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-23 16:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-23 16:50
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.41%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.62%EV -10.45%E -8.23%K -38.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -17.47%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:44
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-23 16:50