L’École des cotes

IFK Mariehamn v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 17:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Mariehamn 0–4 HJK Helsinki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Mariehamn (Local)

Prévision 12.48%8.02cote équitable
EV +11.03%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 8.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.80%12.43%12.48%14.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.277.508.9016.67%13.75%13.33%11.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.51%1.42cote équitable
EV +0.121%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.289%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.22%70.51%70.50%72.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.321.4280.00%75.93%75.76%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.02%5.88cote équitable
EV +4.65%
Avantage +0.756%
Kelly +0.903%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 6.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.66%17.06%17.02%19.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.245.006.1521.74%19.10%20.00%16.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet8.90I 11.24%NM 10.80%EV +11.03%E +1.24%K +1.40%G +0.154%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.70%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -11.51%E -2.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 10:10
Pinnacle8.08I 12.38%NM 11.92%EV +0.804%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.42%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.66%EV +4.65%E +0.756%K +0.903%G +0.042%3.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Betsson7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:10
NordicBet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.44%E -0.182%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.27%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -15.77%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 13:10
1xBet7.67I 13.04%NM 12.17%EV -4.31%E -0.562%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.63%EV -4.11%E -3.02%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.20%EV -17.30%E -3.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 16:50
GTbets7.51I 13.32%NM 12.88%EV -6.31%E -0.840%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.14%EV +0.121%E +0.085%K +0.289%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -13.22%E -2.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 10:20
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 16:00
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV +0.397%E +0.067%K +0.081%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 15:50
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.63%E -5.83%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 15:50
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 14:10
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 13:40
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -16.62%E -3.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 14:10
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 15:50
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -6.43%E -0.858%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.77%EV -11.16%E -8.86%K -42.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -19.17%E -4.04%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-23 14:10
LowVig.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
BetOnline.ag7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
BetAnything7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.51%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.10%E +0.350%K +0.420%G +0.009%5.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Marathon Bet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -7.68%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.93%E -5.25%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-23 16:50
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 16:50
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -9.55%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -21.72%E -4.72%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-23 13:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -10.17%E -1.41%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 16:00
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.81%E -3.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 16:36
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -4.71%E -0.841%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 16:50
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.11%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 16:49
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -2.16%E -0.375%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-23 16:50
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 16:50
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 16:50
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -9.75%E -7.62%K -34.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 13:50
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.34%E -6.42%K -27.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 16:50
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -12.67%E -1.81%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -11.87%E -9.49%K -47.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -6.41%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-23 16:50
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.24%EV -9.04%E -7.01%K -31.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -10.66%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-23 16:50
Unibet (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.41%EV -18.91%E -2.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.62%EV -10.45%E -8.23%K -38.72%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -17.47%E -3.60%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:44
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -25.15%E -4.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.68%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -14.92%E -2.98%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-23 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-06-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-23 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-06-23 16:50