Language:English
IF Gnistan v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prediction 34.09%2.93fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%34.29%34.01%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.642.652.8942.92%37.82%37.74%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.13%39.16%39.34%40.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.33%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.57%3.76fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.75%26.55%26.65%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.7030.30%28.85%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 34.09%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 39.33%; Draw: 26.57%. For IF Gnistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%EV -1.47%E -0.508%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.81%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -1.81%E -0.628%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -11.25%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.85%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -2.45%E -0.988%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -8.86%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.54%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 12:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.44%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -1.69%E -0.456%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 11:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 14:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 14:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.76%E -5.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 36.78%EV -20.56%E -8.82%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |