Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Gnistan v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 15:00 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 3–2 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 34.09%2.93cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.508%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.49%34.29%34.01%36.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.332.642.652.8942.92%37.82%37.74%34.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.33%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.666%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.13%39.16%39.34%40.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.33%42.55%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.625%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.75%26.55%26.65%28.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.503.7030.30%28.85%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IF Gnistan (Local) : 34.09% ; Ilves Tampere (Visiteur) : 39.33% ; Match nul : 26.57%. Pour IF Gnistan (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.93. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.89, pour une espérance de -1.47% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%EV -1.47%E -0.508%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.81%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 14:55
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -1.81%E -0.628%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -11.25%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 14:50
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.85%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -2.45%E -0.988%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -8.86%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 14:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.54%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:49
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:53
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 14:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 12:44
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 14:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.44%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -1.69%E -0.456%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 11:34
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 14:54
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 14:48
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 14:48
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 14:54
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 14:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.76%E -5.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-17 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-17 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 36.78%EV -20.56%E -8.82%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-17 14:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-17 14:50