Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IF Gnistan (Local): 34.09%; Ilves Tampere (Visitante): 39.33%; Empate: 26.57%. Para IF Gnistan (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.93. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.89, con un valor esperado de -1.47%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%EV -1.47%E -0.508%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.81%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -1.81%E -0.628%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -11.25%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.85%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -2.45%E -0.988%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -8.86%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.54%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 12:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.44%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -1.69%E -0.456%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 11:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 14:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 14:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.76%E -5.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 36.78%EV -20.56%E -8.82%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-17 14:09 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 14:50 |