StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Gnistan v Ilves Tampere

Matchstart: 2026-08-17 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: IF Gnistan 3–2 Ilves Tampere

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Gnistan (Hemma)

Prognos 34.09%2.93rättvist odds
EV -1.47%
Fördel -0.508%
Kelly -0.776%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.89

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.49%34.29%34.01%36.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.332.642.652.8942.92%37.82%37.74%34.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ilves Tampere (Borta)

Prognos 39.33%2.54rättvist odds
EV -1.66%
Fördel -0.666%
Kelly -1.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.13%39.16%39.34%40.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.33%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.57%3.76rättvist odds
EV -1.69%
Fördel -0.456%
Kelly -0.625%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.75%26.55%26.65%28.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.473.503.7030.30%28.85%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IF Gnistan (Hemma): 34.09%; Ilves Tampere (Borta): 39.33%; Oavgjort: 26.57%. För IF Gnistan (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.93. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.89, med väntevärdet -1.47%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%EV -1.47%E -0.508%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.71%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.81%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-17 14:55
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -1.81%E -0.628%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -11.25%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 14:50
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.85%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.43%EV -2.45%E -0.988%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -8.86%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 14:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.54%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:49
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:53
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 14:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 12:44
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.65%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.58%E -2.40%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.60%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 14:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.44%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -1.69%E -0.456%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 11:34
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 14:54
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 14:48
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 14:48
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:50
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 14:54
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.33%E -3.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 14:54
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 14:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -13.06%E -5.12%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.66%E -0.666%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.76%E -5.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-17 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-17 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-17 14:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -17.15%E -7.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -9.66%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 36.78%EV -20.56%E -8.82%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.32%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-17 14:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-17 14:50