Language:English
IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prediction 20.35%4.91fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.435%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.50%20.25%20.39%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.13%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Prediction 57.67%1.73fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.06%57.78%57.59%60.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.591.601.6668.97%63.07%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -0.622%
Edge -0.138%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%21.97%22.01%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.174.204.5229.41%23.97%23.81%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 20.35%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 57.67%; Draw: 21.99%. For IF Gnistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +1.74%E +0.348%K +0.435%G +0.008% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.38%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -1.06%E -0.236%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.61%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.31%EV -0.622%E -0.138%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -16.38%E -11.30%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.26%E -0.741%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -8.31%E -5.23%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.63%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.92%EV -8.84%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 20.97%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -5.90%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 10:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -10.62%E -6.85%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.36%EV -17.59%E -4.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.17%EV -11.19%E -7.27%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.65%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.06%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.25%E -7.43%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |