A Escola das Odds

IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki

Início: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 0–3 HJK Helsinki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Previsão 20.35%4.91odd justa
EV +1.74%
Vantagem +0.348%
Kelly +0.435%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.50%20.25%20.39%22.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.13%22.22%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Previsão 57.67%1.73odd justa
EV -4.27%
Vantagem -2.58%
Kelly -6.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.06%57.78%57.59%60.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.591.601.6668.97%63.07%62.50%60.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.99%4.55odd justa
EV -0.622%
Vantagem -0.138%
Kelly -0.177%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.92%21.97%22.01%24.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.174.204.5229.41%23.97%23.81%22.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +1.74%E +0.348%K +0.435%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.38%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -1.06%E -0.236%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 09:00
Pinnacle4.91I 20.37%NM 19.61%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.31%EV -0.622%E -0.138%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 10:55
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:30
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:30
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
PMU (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -16.38%E -11.30%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 07:29
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:55
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:54
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.26%E -0.741%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:54
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:29
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -8.31%E -5.23%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:29
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.63%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:30
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.92%EV -8.84%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:55
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 20.97%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -5.90%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:30
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:55
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:55
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 10:54
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:55
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -10.62%E -6.85%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:55
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.36%EV -17.59%E -4.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.17%EV -11.19%E -7.27%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:30
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:30
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.65%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.06%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.25%E -7.43%K -10.52%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-18 10:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55