L’École des cotes

IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 0–3 HJK Helsinki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 20.35%4.91cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.348%
Kelly +0.435%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%20.25%20.39%22.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.13%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.67%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -6.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.06%57.78%57.59%60.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.591.601.6668.97%63.07%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.99%4.55cote équitable
EV -0.622%
Avantage -0.138%
Kelly -0.177%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%21.97%22.01%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.174.204.5229.41%23.97%23.81%22.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +1.74%E +0.348%K +0.435%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.38%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -1.06%E -0.236%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 09:00
Pinnacle4.91I 20.37%NM 19.61%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.31%EV -0.622%E -0.138%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 10:55
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:30
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:30
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
PMU (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -16.38%E -11.30%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 07:29
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:55
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:54
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.26%E -0.741%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:54
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:29
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -8.31%E -5.23%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:29
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.63%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:30
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.92%EV -8.84%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:55
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 20.97%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -5.90%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:30
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:55
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:55
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 10:54
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:55
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -10.62%E -6.85%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:55
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.36%EV -17.59%E -4.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.17%EV -11.19%E -7.27%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:30
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:30
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.65%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.06%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.25%E -7.43%K -10.52%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-18 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55