Szkoła Kursów

IF Gnistan v HJK Helsinki

Początek: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: IF Gnistan 0–3 HJK Helsinki

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

IF Gnistan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 20.35%4.91kurs godziwy
EV +1.74%
Przewaga +0.348%
Kelly +0.435%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.50%20.25%20.39%22.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.524.505.0025.00%22.13%22.22%20.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

HJK Helsinki (Goście)

Prognoza 57.67%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -4.27%
Przewaga -2.58%
Kelly -6.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.06%57.78%57.59%60.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.591.601.6668.97%63.07%62.50%60.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.99%4.55kurs godziwy
EV -0.622%
Przewaga -0.138%
Kelly -0.177%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.92%21.97%22.01%24.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.404.174.204.5229.41%23.97%23.81%22.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +1.74%E +0.348%K +0.435%G +0.008%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.38%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.38%EV -1.06%E -0.236%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 09:00
Pinnacle4.91I 20.37%NM 19.61%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.08%EV -6.00%E -3.68%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.31%EV -0.622%E -0.138%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 10:55
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:30
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.10%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 07:29
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.41%EV -12.92%E -8.56%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:30
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -0.295%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 07:29
PMU (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.59%EV -16.38%E -11.30%K -36.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 07:29
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.11%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.36%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:55
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -5.38%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 10:54
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.26%E -0.741%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:54
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:29
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.98%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 10:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -8.31%E -5.23%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:29
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.04%EV -8.89%E -5.63%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:30
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.43%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 10:30
1xBet4.48I 22.32%NM 20.92%EV -8.84%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:55
GTbets4.41I 22.68%NM 20.97%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.60%EV -5.90%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 10:30
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:55
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:55
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.86%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 10:54
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 10:55
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 10:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.09%EV -10.62%E -6.85%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.85%E -2.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:55
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:30
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -11.89%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.46%E -6.03%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 10:30
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -4.27%E -2.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:29
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.73%E -4.83%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -14.25%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.36%EV -17.59%E -4.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.17%EV -11.19%E -7.27%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -15.35%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:30
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -6.58%E -4.06%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:30
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -7.16%E -4.45%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.77%E -7.69%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.65%EV -18.61%E -4.65%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.06%EV -13.50%E -9.00%K -27.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.25%E -7.43%K -10.52%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-18 10:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-04-18 10:55