Language:English
HJK Helsinki v Jaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 70.69%1.41fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -6.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.91%70.65%70.66%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.311.321.3881.97%76.35%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaro (Visit)
Prediction 12.08%8.28fair odd
EV +8.75%
Edge +0.972%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.67%11.99%12.17%13.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.527.509.0014.29%13.30%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.23%5.80fair odd
EV +2.53%
Edge +0.425%
Kelly +0.511%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 5.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.09%17.36%17.17%20.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.555.165.105.9521.98%19.39%19.61%16.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 70.69%; Jaro (Visit): 12.08%; Draw: 17.23%. For Jaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.28. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV +8.75%E +0.972%K +1.09%G +0.096% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 12:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +2.70%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 8.39I 11.92%NM 11.47%EV +1.38%E +0.164%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.17%EV +2.53%E +0.425%K +0.511%G +0.013% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -10.94%E -8.68%K -42.06%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -0.317%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.09%EV -1.78%E -0.312%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.45%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.98I 12.53%NM 11.97%EV -3.58%E -0.448%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.84%EV -12.64%E -2.49%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.38%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -18.32%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.919%E -0.160%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 12:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 12:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-16 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.51%EV -10.23%E -8.05%K -37.89%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.27%EV -11.80%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.40%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -20.73%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 12:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-13 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 69.83%EV -13.06%E -10.62%K -56.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.27%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-13 06:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 12:45 |