Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

HJK Helsinki v Jaro

Początek: 2026-08-16 12:59 UTC

Wynik końcowy: HJK Helsinki 3–0 Jaro

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 70.69%1.41kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -1.78%
Kelly -6.46%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.91%70.65%70.66%72.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.311.321.3881.97%76.35%75.76%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jaro (Goście)

Prognoza 12.08%8.28kurs godziwy
EV +8.75%
Przewaga +0.972%
Kelly +1.09%
Wzrost +0.096%

przy maksymalnym kursie 9.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
10.67%11.99%12.17%13.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.007.527.509.0014.29%13.30%13.33%11.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 17.23%5.80kurs godziwy
EV +2.53%
Przewaga +0.425%
Kelly +0.511%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.09%17.36%17.17%20.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.555.165.105.9521.98%19.39%19.61%16.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze): 70.69%; Jaro (Goście): 12.08%; Remis: 17.23%. Dla wyniku Jaro (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 8.28. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 9.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.75%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV +8.75%E +0.972%K +1.09%G +0.096%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +2.70%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 12:39
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.47%EV +1.38%E +0.164%K +0.186%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.17%EV +2.53%E +0.425%K +0.511%G +0.013%3.9%2026-08-16 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:39
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -10.94%E -8.68%K -42.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -0.317%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.09%EV -1.78%E -0.312%K -0.379%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 12:39
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:39
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.45%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 11.97%EV -3.58%E -0.448%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.84%EV -12.64%E -2.49%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 12:39
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.38%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -18.32%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:35
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:34
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:39
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.919%E -0.160%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 12:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 12:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-16 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.51%EV -10.23%E -8.05%K -37.89%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.27%EV -11.80%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.40%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -20.73%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 12:39
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.83%EV -13.06%E -10.62%K -56.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.27%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-13 06:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:45