Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki v Jaro

Início: 2026-08-16 12:59 UTC

Final: HJK Helsinki 3–0 Jaro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Previsão 70.69%1.41odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -6.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.91%70.65%70.66%72.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.311.321.3881.97%76.35%75.76%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jaro (Visitante)

Previsão 12.08%8.28odd justa
EV +8.75%
Vantagem +0.972%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.67%11.99%12.17%13.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.007.527.509.0014.29%13.30%13.33%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.23%5.80odd justa
EV +2.53%
Vantagem +0.425%
Kelly +0.511%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.09%17.36%17.17%20.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.555.165.105.9521.98%19.39%19.61%16.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: HJK Helsinki (Local): 70.69%; Jaro (Visitante): 12.08%; Empate: 17.23%. Para Jaro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.28. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV +8.75%E +0.972%K +1.09%G +0.096%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +2.70%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 12:39
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.47%EV +1.38%E +0.164%K +0.186%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.17%EV +2.53%E +0.425%K +0.511%G +0.013%3.9%2026-08-16 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:39
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -10.94%E -8.68%K -42.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -0.317%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.09%EV -1.78%E -0.312%K -0.379%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 12:39
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:39
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.45%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 11.97%EV -3.58%E -0.448%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.84%EV -12.64%E -2.49%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 12:39
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.38%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -18.32%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:35
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:34
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:39
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.919%E -0.160%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 12:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 12:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-16 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.51%EV -10.23%E -8.05%K -37.89%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.27%EV -11.80%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.40%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -20.73%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 12:39
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.83%EV -13.06%E -10.62%K -56.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.27%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-13 06:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:45