StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

HJK Helsinki v Jaro

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 12:59 UTC

Slutresultat: HJK Helsinki 3–0 Jaro

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

HJK Helsinki (Hemma)

Prognos 70.69%1.41rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -1.78%
Kelly -6.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.91%70.65%70.66%72.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.311.321.3881.97%76.35%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jaro (Borta)

Prognos 12.08%8.28rättvist odds
EV +8.75%
Fördel +0.972%
Kelly +1.09%
Tillväxt +0.096%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.67%11.99%12.17%13.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.007.527.509.0014.29%13.30%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 17.23%5.80rättvist odds
EV +2.53%
Fördel +0.425%
Kelly +0.511%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.09%17.36%17.17%20.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.555.165.105.9521.98%19.39%19.61%16.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: HJK Helsinki (Hemma): 70.69%; Jaro (Borta): 12.08%; Oavgjort: 17.23%. För Jaro (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.28. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.75%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV +8.75%E +0.972%K +1.09%G +0.096%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +2.70%E +0.318%K +0.361%G +0.010%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -0.057%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 12:39
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.47%EV +1.38%E +0.164%K +0.186%G +0.003%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.17%EV +2.53%E +0.425%K +0.511%G +0.013%3.9%2026-08-16 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:39
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.53%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.09%EV +0.288%E +0.035%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -21.60%E -4.75%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -10.94%E -8.68%K -42.06%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.12%EV -0.317%E -0.038%K -0.044%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.09%EV -1.78%E -0.312%K -0.379%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 12:39
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 12:35
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.34%E -0.417%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:39
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.45%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 11.97%EV -3.58%E -0.448%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.84%EV -12.64%E -2.49%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 12:39
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.38%EV -3.16%E -2.31%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.86%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -18.32%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.81%EV -4.55%E -0.575%K -0.659%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -4.57%E -3.39%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:35
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:34
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -6.36%E -0.820%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 12:39
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.919%E -0.160%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 12:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -12.12%E -2.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 12:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 12:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -13.76%E -11.28%K -62.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -9.38%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-16 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -10.59%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.23%E -0.950%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.51%EV -10.23%E -8.05%K -37.89%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.27%EV -11.80%E -1.62%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.91%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -12.40%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -20.73%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 12:39
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:49
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:50
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.53%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:34
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.84%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 69.83%EV -13.06%E -10.62%K -56.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.27%EV -15.42%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.89%EV -17.29%E -3.60%K -4.55%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-13 06:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:50
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.76%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.30%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-08-16 12:45