Language:English
HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 79.13%1.26fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -15.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.86%79.14%79.23%80.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.42%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Prediction 7.46%13.41fair odd
EV +8.10%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +0.600%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 14.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.42%7.50%7.38%9.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.9612.0014.5010.53%8.36%8.33%6.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 7.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.30%13.36%13.40%15.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.676.507.6018.18%15.00%15.38%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 79.13%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 7.46%; Draw: 13.41%. For IFK Mariehamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.98%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -7.46%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.42%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -0.753%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.53%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 13.10I 7.63%NM 7.16%EV -2.33%E -0.178%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.31%EV -5.45%E -0.773%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.91%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 13.07I 7.65%NM 7.34%EV -2.56%E -0.196%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.75%EV +0.856%E +0.114%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.31%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -15.51%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.73%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 11.83I 8.45%NM 8.02%EV -11.80%E -0.998%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.26%EV -10.81%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 11:47 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.61%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.90%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.44%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.71%EV -26.24%E -4.77%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -21.72%E -2.07%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -29.17%E -3.07%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.43% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.73% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |