La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Predicción 79.13%1.26momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -15.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.86%79.14%79.23%80.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.42%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)
Predicción 7.46%13.41momio equitativo
EV +8.10%
Ventaja +0.559%
Kelly +0.600%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.42%7.50%7.38%9.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.5011.9612.0014.5010.53%8.36%8.33%6.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 13.41%7.46momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.30%13.36%13.40%15.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.676.507.6018.18%15.00%15.38%13.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.98%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -7.46%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.42%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -0.753%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.53%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 13.10I 7.63%NM 7.16%EV -2.33%E -0.178%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.31%EV -5.45%E -0.773%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.91%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 13.07I 7.65%NM 7.34%EV -2.56%E -0.196%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.75%EV +0.856%E +0.114%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.31%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -15.51%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Everygame | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.73%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 11.83I 8.45%NM 8.02%EV -11.80%E -0.998%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.26%EV -10.81%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 11:47 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.61%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.90%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.44%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.71%EV -26.24%E -4.77%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -21.72%E -2.07%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 11:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -29.17%E -3.07%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.43% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.73% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 12:00 |