La scuola delle quote

HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn

Inizio: 2026-05-30 12:02 UTC

Finale: HJK Helsinki 1–0 IFK Mariehamn

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Casa)

Previsione 79.13%1.26quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -2.83%
Kelly -15.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.86%79.14%79.23%80.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.42%85.47%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Mariehamn (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.46%13.41quota equa
EV +8.10%
Vantaggio +0.559%
Kelly +0.600%
Crescita +0.049%

ipotizzando la quota massima 14.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.42%7.50%7.38%9.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.5011.9612.0014.5010.53%8.36%8.33%6.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 13.41%7.46quota equa
EV +1.93%
Vantaggio +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.30%13.36%13.40%15.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.676.507.6018.18%15.00%15.38%13.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.98%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -7.46%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:59
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.42%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -0.753%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:59
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 11:59
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.53%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.16%EV -2.33%E -0.178%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.31%EV -5.45%E -0.773%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:59
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.91%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%13.07I 7.65%NM 7.34%EV -2.56%E -0.196%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.75%EV +0.856%E +0.114%K +0.131%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-30 11:59
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:58
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:59
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%6.5%2026-05-30 12:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 12:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 12:00
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 11:59
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 12:00
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 11:58
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:00
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:00
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 78.31%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -15.51%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 12:00
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006%7.0%2026-05-30 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006%7.0%2026-05-30 12:00
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%7.1%2026-05-30 12:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 12:00
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 11:59
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 11:59
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 11:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.73%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%11.83I 8.45%NM 8.02%EV -11.80%E -0.998%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.26%EV -10.81%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 12:00
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:58
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 11:47
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:00
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 11:59
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:00
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 12:00
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:00
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.61%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.90%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-30 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.44%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.71%EV -26.24%E -4.77%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-30 11:59
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -21.72%E -2.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 11:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -29.17%E -3.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-30 12:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15%0.4%2026-05-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15%0.4%2026-05-30 12:00
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 82.43%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%1.9%2026-05-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.73%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-05-30 12:00