L’École des cotes

HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 12:02 UTC

Score final : HJK Helsinki 1–0 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 79.13%1.26cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -15.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.86%79.14%79.23%80.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.42%85.47%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.46%13.41cote équitable
EV +8.10%
Avantage +0.559%
Kelly +0.600%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 14.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.42%7.50%7.38%9.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5011.9612.0014.5010.53%8.36%8.33%6.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.41%7.46cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.292%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 7.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.30%13.36%13.40%15.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.676.507.6018.18%15.00%15.38%13.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.98%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.45%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -7.46%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:59
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.42%EV +8.10%E +0.559%K +0.600%G +0.049%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.59%EV -0.753%E -0.102%K -0.118%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:59
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +4.38%E +0.313%K +0.337%G +0.015%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 11:59
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.53%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.16%EV -2.33%E -0.178%K -0.193%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.31%EV -5.45%E -0.773%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:59
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.91%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%13.07I 7.65%NM 7.34%EV -2.56%E -0.196%K -0.212%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.75%EV +0.856%E +0.114%K +0.131%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-30 11:59
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 11:58
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:59
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%6.5%2026-05-30 12:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 12:00
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 12:00
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 11:59
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.79%E -8.59%K -69.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 12:00
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -3.08%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 11:58
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:00
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.51%EV -5.04%E -4.20%K -25.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:00
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 78.31%EV -8.21%E -7.07%K -51.29%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.27%EV -6.81%E -0.545%K -0.592%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -15.51%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 12:00
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006%7.0%2026-05-30 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV +1.93%E +0.254%K +0.292%G +0.006%7.0%2026-05-30 12:00
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.588%E +0.078%K +0.090%G +0.001%7.1%2026-05-30 12:00
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 12:00
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:59
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 11:59
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 11:59
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.47%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -10.53%E -0.878%K -0.958%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 11:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.73%EV -3.46%E -2.83%K -15.72%G +0.000%11.83I 8.45%NM 8.02%EV -11.80%E -0.998%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.26%EV -10.81%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.73%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 12:00
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:59
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:58
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 11:47
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:00
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.12%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -14.26%E -1.24%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 11:59
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 77.27%EV -5.83%E -4.90%K -30.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -14.16%E -2.21%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:00
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.00%E -7.82%K -59.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -6.12%E -0.874%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 12:00
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -16.18%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:00
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -18.19%E -2.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-30 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.61%EV -11.37%E -10.15%K -94.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.90%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-30 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.44%EV -10.58%E -9.36%K -81.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -17.99%E -1.64%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.71%EV -26.24%E -4.77%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-30 11:59
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -21.72%E -2.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.82%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 11:59
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.62%E -5.61%K -36.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -25.45%E -2.54%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 11:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -7.41%E -6.34%K -43.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -29.17%E -3.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -19.53%E -3.25%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-30 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15%0.4%2026-05-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.32%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.53%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.15%0.4%2026-05-30 12:00
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 82.43%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%1.9%2026-05-30 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.73%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-05-30 12:00