Language:English
HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 56.44%1.77fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.82%56.45%56.42%59.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.621.631.7067.11%61.92%61.54%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AC Oulu (Visit)
Prediction 21.32%4.69fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.20%21.27%21.41%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.374.314.7526.67%22.88%23.17%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%22.29%22.17%24.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.114.154.4129.41%24.36%24.10%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 56.44%; AC Oulu (Visit): 21.32%; Draw: 22.24%. For AC Oulu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.60%EV -0.027%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.90%EV -1.92%E -0.435%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -15.90%E -10.67%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.08%E -0.906%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.40%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.13%EV -5.57%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.47%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.37%E -3.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.60%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 21.90%EV -5.92%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.59%EV -10.82%E -6.85%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%EV -17.93%E -4.66%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -16.60%E -4.43%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-11 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -19.00%E -5.00%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.64%E -8.92%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.06%E -5.35%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.38%E -7.17%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |