La escuela de los momios

HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Predicción 56.44%1.77momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -5.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.82%56.45%56.42%59.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.621.631.7067.11%61.92%61.54%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 21.32%4.69momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.264%
Kelly +0.334%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.20%21.27%21.41%22.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.374.314.7526.67%22.88%23.17%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.24%4.50momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.54%22.29%22.17%24.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.114.154.4129.41%24.36%24.10%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 13:29
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:30
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:29
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:29
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.60%EV -0.027%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.90%EV -1.92%E -0.435%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:50
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -15.90%E -10.67%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.08%E -0.906%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.40%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.13%EV -5.57%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.47%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:46
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:35
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:50
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.37%E -3.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:55
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.60%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 21.90%EV -5.92%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:45
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:15
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:49
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.59%EV -10.82%E -6.85%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%EV -17.93%E -4.66%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -16.60%E -4.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 13:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -19.00%E -5.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.64%E -8.92%K -25.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.06%E -5.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.38%E -7.17%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-11 13:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55