Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu

Początek: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.44%1.77kurs godziwy
EV -4.05%
Przewaga -2.38%
Kelly -5.78%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.82%56.45%56.42%59.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.491.621.631.7067.11%61.92%61.54%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

AC Oulu (Goście)

Prognoza 21.32%4.69kurs godziwy
EV +1.25%
Przewaga +0.264%
Kelly +0.334%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.20%21.27%21.41%22.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.374.314.7526.67%22.88%23.17%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.24%4.50kurs godziwy
EV -1.92%
Przewaga -0.435%
Kelly -0.563%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.54%22.29%22.17%24.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.404.114.154.4129.41%24.36%24.10%22.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze): 56.44%; AC Oulu (Goście): 21.32%; Remis: 22.24%. Dla wyniku AC Oulu (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.69. 16 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.25%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 13:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:29
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.60%EV -0.027%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.90%EV -1.92%E -0.435%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -15.90%E -10.67%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.08%E -0.906%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.40%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.13%EV -5.57%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.47%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:46
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.37%E -3.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:55
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.60%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 21.90%EV -5.92%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:15
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.59%EV -10.82%E -6.85%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%EV -17.93%E -4.66%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -16.60%E -4.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -19.00%E -5.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.64%E -8.92%K -25.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.06%E -5.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.38%E -7.17%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-11 13:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55