L’École des cotes

HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 56.44%1.77cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -5.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.82%56.45%56.42%59.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.621.631.7067.11%61.92%61.54%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AC Oulu (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.32%4.69cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.264%
Kelly +0.334%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.20%21.27%21.41%22.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.374.314.7526.67%22.88%23.17%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.24%4.50cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.435%
Kelly -0.563%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.54%22.29%22.17%24.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.114.154.4129.41%24.36%24.10%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 13:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV +1.25%E +0.264%K +0.334%G +0.004%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 13:29
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:30
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:29
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV +0.186%E +0.040%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:29
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.60%EV -0.027%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.90%EV -1.92%E -0.435%K -0.563%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.24%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -2.14%E -0.487%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:50
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -15.90%E -10.67%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -1.95%E -0.423%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.08%E -0.906%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:50
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.40%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.13%EV -5.57%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.47%EV -11.26%E -2.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:46
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.37%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:35
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:35
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -9.13%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.07%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:50
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:50
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -14.37%E -3.73%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:55
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.60%EV -8.55%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 21.90%EV -5.92%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:45
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -4.61%E -2.73%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.05%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:15
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:40
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.81%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:49
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 13:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -16.87%E -4.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.26%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.59%EV -10.82%E -6.85%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%EV -17.93%E -4.66%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -16.60%E -4.43%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 13:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -19.00%E -5.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 53.82%EV -13.64%E -8.92%K -25.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.96%EV -20.06%E -5.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.22%EV -24.38%E -7.17%K -10.16%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-11 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-04-11 13:55