Language:English
West Ham United v Leeds United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Ham United (Local)
Prediction 41.09%2.43fair odd
EV +0.672%
Edge +0.274%
Kelly +0.464%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.59%40.95%40.99%43.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.152.4550.00%45.60%46.51%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leeds United (Visit)
Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV +0.950%
Edge +0.302%
Kelly +0.442%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%32.23%32.09%34.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.943.003.1538.17%34.07%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%26.82%26.92%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.453.6033.33%29.07%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Ham United (Local): 41.09%; Leeds United (Visit): 32.05%; Draw: 26.86%. For Leeds United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.950%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 12:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.89%E -6.08%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 06:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 04:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.26%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -5.18%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 13:57 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.06%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-12 06:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -0.149%E -0.061%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.40%EV +0.672%E +0.274%K +0.464%G +0.003% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.63%EV -8.02%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-12 06:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-13 13:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-13 13:57 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-13 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -1.38%E -0.576%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 04:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-13 13:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 14:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48% | 37.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48% | 37.1% | 2026-03-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48% | 37.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |