A Escola das Odds

West Ham United v Leeds United

Início: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

West Ham United (Local)

Previsão 41.09%2.43odd justa
EV +0.672%
Vantagem +0.274%
Kelly +0.464%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.59%40.95%40.99%43.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.192.152.4550.00%45.60%46.51%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leeds United (Visitante)

Previsão 32.05%3.12odd justa
EV +0.950%
Vantagem +0.302%
Kelly +0.442%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.01%32.23%32.09%34.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.622.943.003.1538.17%34.07%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.86%3.72odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.03%26.82%26.92%28.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.443.453.6033.33%29.07%28.99%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 12:24
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 12:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 11:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 12:35
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 14:04
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.89%E -6.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-11 14:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 01:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 06:29
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 06:24
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 04:09
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 14:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 14:05
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.26%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -5.18%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 13:57
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.06%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 06:24
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -0.149%E -0.061%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 01:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 14:10
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.40%EV +0.672%E +0.274%K +0.464%G +0.003%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.63%EV -8.02%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 21:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:04
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-12 06:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 13:58
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 13:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-13 14:01
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 14:09
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -1.38%E -0.576%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 04:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-13 13:56
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 14:07
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53%1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48%37.1%2026-03-12 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53%1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48%37.1%2026-03-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53%1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48%37.1%2026-03-12 20:50