La escuela de los momiosEspañol
West Ham United v Leeds United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
West Ham United (Local)
Predicción 41.09%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.672%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.464%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.59%40.95%40.99%43.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.152.4550.00%45.60%46.51%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leeds United (Visitante)
Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV +0.950%
Ventaja +0.302%
Kelly +0.442%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.01%32.23%32.09%34.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.943.003.1538.17%34.07%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%26.82%26.92%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.6033.33%29.07%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 12:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 12:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 14:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.89%E -6.08%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 01:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 06:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 06:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 04:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 14:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.26%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -5.18%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 13:57 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.06%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-12 06:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -0.149%E -0.061%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 01:40 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.40%EV +0.672%E +0.274%K +0.464%G +0.003% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.63%EV -8.02%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 21:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:04 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-13 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-12 06:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-13 13:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-13 13:57 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-13 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -1.38%E -0.576%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 04:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-13 13:56 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 14:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48% | 37.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48% | 37.1% | 2026-03-12 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48% | 37.1% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |