L’École des cotes

West Ham United v Leeds United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

West Ham United (Local)

Prévision 41.09%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.672%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.464%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.59%40.95%40.99%43.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.152.4550.00%45.60%46.51%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leeds United (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV +0.950%
Avantage +0.302%
Kelly +0.442%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.01%32.23%32.09%34.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.943.003.1538.17%34.07%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%26.82%26.92%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.453.6033.33%29.07%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 12:24
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -8.78%E -3.95%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV +0.950%E +0.302%K +0.442%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 12:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 11:20
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 12:35
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:05
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.61%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -0.653%E -0.210%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 14:04
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -12.89%E -6.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-11 14:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.739%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 01:09
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.30%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 06:29
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 06:24
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -12.07%E -5.64%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.64%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 04:09
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 14:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -7.33%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-11 14:05
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 40.91%EV -4.26%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.09%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -5.18%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.60%E -4.36%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 13:57
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.06%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 06:24
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -0.149%E -0.061%K -0.104%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 01:40
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.55%E -3.35%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 14:10
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.40%EV +0.672%E +0.274%K +0.464%G +0.003%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.63%EV -8.02%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 21:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:04
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-12 06:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 13:58
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.76%E -7.69%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.36%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 13:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.71%E -6.53%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.42%E -6.47%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-13 14:01
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 40.80%EV -11.24%E -5.21%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.89%EV -14.11%E -5.27%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -10.01%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 14:09
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -1.38%E -0.576%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 04:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.02%EV -17.82%E -8.91%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.71%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.26%EV -14.04%E -4.39%K -6.38%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-13 13:56
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -16.04%E -6.12%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.67%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 14:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-03-13 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53%1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48%37.1%2026-03-12 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53%1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48%37.1%2026-03-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 31.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.53%1.64I 60.98%NM 44.48%37.1%2026-03-12 20:50