A Escola das Odds

Port Vale v Sunderland

Início: 2026-03-08 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Previsão 13.72%7.29odd justa
EV +4.98%
Vantagem +0.651%
Kelly +0.749%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.39%13.81%13.70%15.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.006.766.757.6516.67%14.79%14.81%13.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sunderland (Visitante)

Previsão 63.43%1.58odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -5.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.54%63.42%63.38%65.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.471.5371.43%67.90%68.03%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.85%4.38odd justa
EV +2.83%
Vantagem +0.628%
Kelly +0.807%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.01%22.77%22.92%24.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.174.204.5027.78%24.00%23.81%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 13:15
BetOnline.ag7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 13:15
LowVig.ag7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 13:15
Coolbet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%EV +4.30%E +0.565%K +0.651%G +0.028%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 09:29
Pinnacle7.59I 13.18%NM 12.68%EV +4.16%E +0.548%K +0.631%G +0.026%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -5.17%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 13:15
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 10:59
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:49
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 13:05
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 13:05
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.506%E -0.070%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -1.19%E -0.166%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 13:25
1xBet7.06I 14.16%NM 13.73%EV -3.11%E -0.441%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.35%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -3.34%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 13:20
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023%2.7%2026-03-08 13:19
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023%2.7%2026-03-08 13:20
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 13:09
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 08:48
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 10:14
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -0.602%E -0.138%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 13:20
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:20
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:19
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:19
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:20
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:20
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 13:20
LeoVegas6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 13:20
Codere (IT)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.43%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.22%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 06:34
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 12:50
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +0.541%E +0.123%K +0.159%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-08 06:59
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 06:34
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.06%E -0.245%K -0.318%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:14
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:49
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 13:18
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:04
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:04
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -17.74%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 10:59
Fliff6.35I 15.75%NM 14.39%EV -12.86%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.57%EV -7.46%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 13:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:49
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023%5.8%2026-03-08 06:59
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:20
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:50
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-03-08 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-08 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-08 13:15
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-08 13:05
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-08 13:25
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.1%2026-03-08 13:20