La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Sunderland
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 13.72%7.29momio equitativo
EV +4.98%
Ventaja +0.651%
Kelly +0.749%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.39%13.81%13.70%15.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.766.757.6516.67%14.79%14.81%13.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sunderland (Visitante)
Predicción 63.43%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%63.42%63.38%65.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.471.5371.43%67.90%68.03%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.85%4.38momio equitativo
EV +2.83%
Ventaja +0.628%
Kelly +0.807%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%22.77%22.92%24.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.174.204.5027.78%24.00%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Coolbet | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%EV +4.30%E +0.565%K +0.651%G +0.028% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 09:29 |
| Pinnacle | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.68%EV +4.16%E +0.548%K +0.631%G +0.026% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -5.17%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| FanDuel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.506%E -0.070%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -1.19%E -0.166%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| 1xBet | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.73%EV -3.11%E -0.441%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.35%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -3.34%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 08:48 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 10:14 |
| Unibet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -0.602%E -0.138%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Casumo | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| betPARX | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.43%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.22%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 06:34 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +0.541%E +0.123%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 06:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 06:34 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.06%E -0.245%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 10:14 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 13:18 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:04 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -17.74%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| Fliff | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.39%EV -12.86%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.57%EV -7.46%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Matchbook | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |