L’École des cotesFrançais
Port Vale v Sunderland
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Port Vale (Local)
Prévision 13.72%7.29cote équitable
EV +4.98%
Avantage +0.651%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.037%
avec la cote maximale 7.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.39%13.81%13.70%15.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.766.757.6516.67%14.79%14.81%13.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sunderland (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.43%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -5.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.42%63.38%65.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.471.5371.43%67.90%68.03%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.85%4.38cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.628%
Kelly +0.807%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.77%22.92%24.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.174.204.5027.78%24.00%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Coolbet | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%EV +4.30%E +0.565%K +0.651%G +0.028% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 09:29 |
| Pinnacle | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.68%EV +4.16%E +0.548%K +0.631%G +0.026% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -5.17%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| FanDuel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| NordicBet | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Betsson | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.506%E -0.070%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -1.19%E -0.166%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| 1xBet | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.73%EV -3.11%E -0.441%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.35%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -3.34%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| DraftKings | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 08:48 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 10:14 |
| Unibet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -0.602%E -0.138%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Casumo | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| betPARX | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| LeoVegas | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.43%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.22%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 06:34 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +0.541%E +0.123%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 06:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 06:34 |
| Sky Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.06%E -0.245%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 10:14 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 13:18 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:04 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -17.74%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-08 10:59 |
| Fliff | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.39%EV -12.86%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.57%EV -7.46%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Matchbook | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 13:05 |
| Smarkets | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |